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As persistent inflation and a strong job market hint at delayed rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Long-term government bond ETFs, including TLT and ZROZ, face declines.


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Following the Federal Reserve's March meeting, a note of caution was evident, throwing light on the central bank's guarded outlook. Post-meeting discussions by several officials amplified concerns around sustained inflation and a robust job market, signaling potential delays in interest rate reductions that many had anticipated might commence early this year.
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This apprehensive sentiment around the inflation outlook and the job market's strength was further exacerbated by unexpected growth in U.S. manufacturing and March's CPI data, which exceeded expectations. With a 0.4% rise in March and an annual increase of 3.5%, the CPI's upward trajectory surpassed economists' anticipations of 0.3% and 3.4%, respectively. This hotter-than-expected inflation data prompted traders to scale back their speculations regarding an imminent easing cycle by the Federal Reserve.
As a result, the ripple effects were acutely felt in the realm of long-term government bond ETFs, which registered a notable slump last week. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (
Please note this article is for information purposes only and does not in any way constitute investment advice. It is essential that you seek advice from a registered financial professional prior to making any investment decision.
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