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Most investors judge an ETF by its average daily volume. They may be looking at the wrong metric.


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I'm Nicholas Phillips, President of ETF Capital Markets Advisors LLC, with 27 years of experience in ETF trading and capital markets. I provide fractional capital markets support to ETF issuers and asset managers, helping them navigate launches, liquidity, ETF market structure, market maker relationships, and sales and execution support.
Through my contributions to ETF Central, I aim to provide practical insights for investors and issuers navigating the ETF landscape.
In this latest piece, I explore why one of the ETF market's most closely watched metrics doesn't always tell the full story.
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One of the first statistics investors often look at when researching an ETF is its average daily trading volume.
For many years, investors have associated high trading volume with a "good" ETF and lower trading volume with one that may be struggling.
But today's ETF marketplace looks very different than it did a decade ago.
With more than 5,500 ETFs available, investors have access to an incredible variety of investment strategies.
Beyond traditional index funds, there are actively managed ETFs, option-income strategies, defined volatility ETFs, buffered ETFs, thematic funds, fixed income products, and countless other specialized approaches.
Not every ETF is designed to attract heavy trading activity every day, and that's perfectly normal.
Many actively managed and strategic ETFs experience periods of relatively light trading before investor interest builds.
A financial advisor may spend weeks researching a strategy before recommending it to clients. An institutional investor may decide to initiate a meaningful position after months of due diligence. Market conditions may suddenly make a particular strategy more attractive than they were only days earlier.
One day an ETF may trade only a few thousand shares.
The next day it may trade several hundred thousand.
That doesn't necessarily mean anything changed about the ETF itself. It simply means investor demand changed.
So who really cares about average daily volume?
The answer is: Market Makers.
For a market maker, average daily volume is much more than a statistic on a fact sheet. It helps answer operational questions that directly affect how they manage their business.
How much inventory should they carry?
Is investor demand consistent enough to justify creating shares ahead of anticipated orders?
Would it be more efficient to create a larger block of shares every few days rather than creating smaller amounts every day?
Should inventory be carried through a long holiday weekend?
These are inventory management and capital allocation decisions.
Average daily volume helps market makers identify recurring trading patterns, estimate expected investor demand, and determine how much inventory and capital to commit to supporting an ETF.
If investor flows tend to be consistent, creating a larger block of ETF shares may be more efficient than repeatedly creating smaller amounts, helping spread the fixed costs of the creation process over more shares.
Investors, however, are asking a different question.
They're usually trying to determine whether an ETF can efficiently accommodate the trade they want to make, not how many shares happened to trade yesterday.
For many ETFs, particularly actively managed strategies, average daily volume may provide very little insight into future trading activity. A strategy that has traded quietly for weeks can experience significant inflows almost overnight once advisors begin recommending it or institutions decide to allocate capital.
That's one of the strengths of the ETF structure. As investor demand increases, authorized participants and market makers can create new ETF shares to meet that demand.
For ETF issuers, average daily volume tells a different story.
Rather than viewing lower trading volume as a sign of failure, it may be more productive to focus on the capital markets decisions that help support an ETF over the long term.
Creation unit size can influence how efficiently market makers manage inventory, deploy capital, and create ETF shares. For example, if an ETF typically trades only 5,000 shares a day but has a 100,000-share creation unit, a market maker may need to hold that inventory for an extended period before investor demand absorbs it. That inventory must be financed, hedged, and managed, increasing the cost of supporting the ETF. Those higher costs may ultimately be reflected in wider bid-ask spreads.
Thoughtful capital markets decisions, including creation unit size and an efficient creation and redemption process, can help market makers support an ETF more efficiently as investor demand develops.
In many cases, trading volume isn't the starting point.
It's the result.
Successful ETF strategies don't become successful because they trade millions of shares each day. They trade millions of shares because investors discover the strategy, advisors recommend it, institutions allocate capital, and the ETF ecosystem is prepared to support that demand.
Average daily volume isn't a measure of an ETF's potential.
It's simply a measure of how it has traded.
For Market Makers, it's an important operational metric.
For investors, it's just one piece of a much larger story.
Please note this article is for information purposes only and does not in any way constitute investment advice. It is essential that you seek advice from a registered financial professional prior to making any investment decision.
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