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Moving Markets

Treasury Yields Drop: Long-Term Bond ETFs Surge

U.S. 10-year Treasury yields fall to 4.22%, boosting long-term bond ETFs like EDV and ZROZ. Fed hints at fewer rate cuts despite hawkish stance.

ETF Central
By ETF Central Team · June 17, 2024
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Long Term Bond ETFs Surge

Treasury Yields Decline: Market Reactions

The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.22% from 4.43% last week, marking the lowest level since late March. Lower-than-expected CPI and PPI figures influenced this drop. Additionally, a rise in initial jobless claims increased speculation that the Federal Reserve could ease quantitative tightening this year.

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Fed's Latest Stance and Market Impact

During its latest meeting, the Federal Reserve maintained the funds rate at 5.25%-5.5%, in line with market expectations. However, the central bank now anticipates only one 25bps rate cut this year, down from the previously forecasted three cuts. This revision suggests a cautious approach, balancing inflation control with economic growth.

Boost in Long-Term Government Bond ETFs

The decline in Treasury yields has positively impacted long-term government bond ETFs. Over the past week, these ETFs gained 3.37% and attracted over $1 billion in investments. Notably, the Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF

and the PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury Index ETF
ZROZ
-2.23%
saw significant gains, with EDV up 4.81% and ZROZ rising 5.67%.

These ETFs provide exposure to long-duration Treasury securities, making them highly sensitive to changes in interest rates. As yields fall, the value of these underlying assets increases, explaining the recent surge in the aforementioned funds.

Group Data

Index Data

Funds Specific Data:
EDV
-2.05%
ZROZ
-2.23%
GOVZ
-2.28%

Please note this article is for information purposes only and does not in any way constitute investment advice. It is essential that you seek advice from a registered financial professional prior to making any investment decision.

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