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Tony's ETF Buyer's Guide: Copper ETFs

ETFs can be a great way to gain exposure to this energy transition-critical base metal, through copper miner ETFs and copper futures ETFs.

Copper ETFs

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As I was catching up on the news recently, I stumbled across a rather surprising trend—not only in Canada but also in the U.S.. There's a nationwide copper theft epidemic! Thieves are stripping everything from telephone poles to railroads and cellular towers for scrap.

Intrigued by the heightened interest in copper, I checked the COMEX copper futures and was astonished to find they're up 31.53% year to date as of May 21.

It turns out, copper isn't just essential for maintaining critical infrastructure; it's also a cornerstone in the energy transition and electrification efforts. Copper's high conductivity makes it indispensable in electric vehicles, renewable energy systems, and the broader push towards greener technologies.

However, while the demand for copper soars, the practicalities of investing in physical copper are complex for the average investor—never mind the legal and ethical issues with acquiring it illicitly!

For those looking to gain exposure to this crucial metal, physically handling copper isn't advisable. Instead, let's explore some ETF options that offer a more accessible and straightforward way to invest in copper's promising future.

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Investing in Copper miner ETFs

Copper miner ETFs are perhaps the most straightforward and accessible option for investors looking to gain exposure to the copper industry. These ETFs invest in a diversified portfolio of companies involved in the exploration, extraction, and refining of copper.

Major companies typically included in these ETFs encompass a range of global players such as Southern Copper and Freeport-McMoRan from the U.S., alongside Canadian firms like First Quantum Minerals, Lundin Mining, and Ivanhoe Mines.

This global exposure is crucial because relying solely on U.S. stocks for copper exposure omits significant parts of the market found in Canada, China, Japan, and Australia. Thus, a copper miner ETF offers a valuable opportunity to capture the worldwide copper market without the home country bias often seen in other investment categories.

However, it's important to understand that investing in copper miner ETFs does not provide direct exposure to copper prices. Instead, these investments add a layer of equity risk, essentially acting as a leveraged play on copper prices due to the operational structure of their businesses.

First, consider the fixed costs involved in copper mining. These are substantial and include expenses like mine development, extraction equipment, and the infrastructure necessary to operate. These costs don't change much, even if the amount of copper mined varies.

Then, there are the variable costs, which are directly tied to the volume of copper extracted. These costs can include labor, energy, and materials, and they increase as more copper is mined but stay relatively constant per unit of copper.

The key to embedded leverage lies in how these costs interact with copper prices. When copper prices rise, the revenue from copper sales increases, often at a rate that exceeds the rise in variable costs.

Since fixed costs remain constant, any increase in copper prices can lead to disproportionately higher profits. This means that copper mining companies can see their earnings magnify relative to increases in the price of copper.

However, the reverse is also true. If copper prices fall, the decline in revenue can dramatically reduce profits, as the fixed costs remain unchanged.

Here's a list of Copper miners ETFs you can consider:

Investing in Copper futures ETFs

Copper futures ETFs, such as the United States Copper Index Fund

, provide a way to invest in copper without the equity risk associated with copper miner ETFs. CPER tracks the SummerHaven Copper Index (Total Return), which is focused on COMEX copper futures.

A significant concern with long-only commodity futures-based ETFs like CPER is the effect of contango and backwardation.

Contango occurs when future prices are higher than the current spot price, leading to potential losses when futures contracts are rolled over at higher prices. Conversely, backwardation happens when future prices are lower than the spot price, which can be beneficial during the roll process.

To mitigate the impact of contango, CPER's index employs a dynamic roll strategy that selectively chooses liquid contracts based on certain criteria to potentially reduce costs associated with rolling futures.

However, investing in this ETF comes with higher fees, currently at 0.97%, and the necessity to deal with a Schedule K-1 during tax season, which can complicate tax filings.

Personally, I'd like to see the introduction of a K-1 free, pure-play copper futures ETF or even a spot copper ETF that holds physical copper, similar to what is available for other precious metals like gold, silver, platinum, and palladium.

Please note this article is for information purposes only and does not in any way constitute investment advice. It is essential that you seek advice from a registered financial professional prior to making any investment decision.

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