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U.S. investors seeking an inflation hedge and high dividends can consider an overweight to Canadian stocks.


I'm not exactly a patriot, but I did feel a smidgen of pride this year as the benchmark index for Canada, the S&P/TSX 60 index, finished the year with a -9.07% loss. While this looks bad, it soundly outperformed the S&P 500 which fell right back into bear market territory with a -19.95% year end return.
Many investors do not consciously overweight Canada in their equity allocations. Currently, Canadian equities account for just 3% of the world's stock market by market cap. Investors who do tilt certain countries tend to favor emerging markets like China for the higher risk-reward possibilities.
However, there is good evidence to suggest that a Canadian tilt might be a suitable option for many U.S. investors. Thanks to ETFs, implementing this is as simple as ever. Let's break down the reasons behind investing in Canada and which ETFs are ideal for this strategy.
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Compared to the U.S., the Canadian stock market is tiny and much less diversified in comparison. Comparing the S&P/TSX 60 and the S&P 500 Index, we can note the following differences. All figures and charts for each index are from S&P Global's respective factsheets for them.






In terms of historical performance, the S&P 500 and S&P TSX 60 have taken turns outperforming each other with similar volatility. On a trailing basis since 2000, they are neck-and-neck. On a rolling basis, which is less sensitive to start dates the S&P 500 has historically outperformed.



From the above, we can gather that a tilt to Canadian equities is best suited for investors looking to overweight financial and energy sector stocks. Indeed, Canadian equities have been a decent hedge in 2022 against inflation thanks to the high concentration of energy stocks.
In addition, the relatively high yield of Canadian stocks can be beneficial for dividend investors. Just keep in mind that in a taxable account, investors will need to account for the CAD-USD relationship when calculating their capital gains. In addition, there is a 15% foreign withholding tax on dividends.
Currently, the most popular U.S.-listed Canadian equity ETF is the JPMorgan BetaBuilders Canada ETF (BBCA). This ETF holds 83 stocks listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) by tracking the Morningstar Canada Target Market Exposure Index. It charges a 0.19% expense ratio.
Another alternative is the iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC) which targets 88 large and mid-cap Canadian equities by tracking the MSCI Canada Custom Capped Index. This ETF is more expensive than BBCA at 0.50% but can serve as a tax-loss harvesting partner due to their different indexes.
One more thing to note: currency fluctuations can affect your returns as both ETFs are unhedged. Case in point, EWC is down 15.14% in 2022 despite the Canadian market only losing around -9%. During this time the USD appreciated against the CAD. Because the underlying holdings in EWC are in CAD, but the ETF is denominated in USD, the ETF lost additional value. The opposite will occur if the CAD appreciates against the USD.
Please note this article is for information purposes only and does not in any way constitute investment advice. It is essential that you seek advice from a registered financial professional prior to making any investment decision.
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