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Moving Markets

Home Construction ETFs See Inflows as Warren Buffett Buys Homebuilders

Homebuilder ETFs attracted strong inflows last month following Berkshire Hathaway’s disclosure of new positions in D.R. Horton and Lennar.

Home Construction ETFs

Warren Buffett may have announced plans to retire by the end of 2025, but that hasn’t stopped the media or investors from scrutinizing every Berkshire Hathaway move.

The firm’s latest 13-F filing revealed new positions in several major U.S. homebuilders, including 7 million shares of Lennar (LEN) and 1.48 million shares of D.R. Horton (DHI)

No one knows exactly what Buffett is thinking, but the bet could reflect optimism about several tailwinds for the housing industry: a persistent shortage of new homes, long-term demographic demand from Millennials and Gen Z, and a potential rate cut cycle in 2026 that could revive affordability.

ETF investors seem to agree. According to ETF Central data, homebuilder-focused ETFs have seen meaningful inflows recently. These movements are worth tracking. In a market increasingly influenced by institutional flows, ETF activity can offer a timely window into where the smart money is going.

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iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF
ITB
-1.54%

The first ETF under my microscope is the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF

, the dominant option for investors looking to target U.S. homebuilders. With over $2.9 billion in assets under management, ITB tracks 46 companies through the Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index.

The top holdings include D.R. Horton and Lennar, two of the largest publicly traded homebuilders in America. Other core holdings span across the value chain, including PulteGroup, Toll Brothers, and NVR. ITB also holds building material suppliers like Sherwin-Williams and Masco, and home improvement retailers like Home Depot and Lowe’s, offering exposure beyond just residential developers.

The following three-month chart shows a sharp recovery in price performance, with ITB up 16.21% as of August 18. That rally began around July 11, well before Berkshire Hathaway’s 13-F disclosure on August 14. ETF flows began turning positive in late July and ramped up significantly into August. This is after several months of outflows, suggesting a reversal in investor sentiment.

ITB Performance

That timing matters. Buffett’s disclosure came after the surge in flows and price. This implies that institutional money may have already started positioning for a rebound in home construction, with the Berkshire news acting more like a confirmation than a catalyst.

SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF
XHB
-1.24%

When you analyze ETF flows, it pays to understand not just the tickers, but also how each fund is constructed and what role it plays in a portfolio. A great example of this is the SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF

. While it may sound similar to ITB on the surface, XHB tracks the S&P Homebuilders Select Industry Index, which is equal weighted.

That structural difference matters. XHB gives a greater share of its portfolio to small- and mid-cap companies, as opposed to ITB, which leans heavily into large-cap names like D.R. Horton and Lennar. This makes XHB a more volatile, high-beta play on the housing market, capturing more upside in bullish conditions but also more downside when sentiment turns.

The three-month chart reflects this dynamic. XHB rose 13.55% over the period, less than ITB, but did so with heavier and more consistent inflows. That’s a sharp contrast with ITB, which saw muted net flows overall and only turned positive on a cumulative basis in recent weeks.

XTB Performance

This divergence may be explained by the investor base. ITB is likely used by more long-term allocators, while XHB may attract more short-term traders. That could explain why XHB flows surged ahead of Buffett’s 13-F filing, as traders anticipated momentum and piled into a more aggressive homebuilder vehicle.

Please note that this article reflects the author’s personal views and does not represent the opinions of the publication or its affiliates. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. It is essential to seek guidance from a registered financial professional before making any investment decisions.

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